The Northbound election archive
Before the vote.
Beyond the headline.
The figures, the methods and the stories inside published Canadian election polling.
The evidence, at a glance
9Northbound polling reports
4external source surveys
11contests covered · 2025–26
Release dates and archive publication dates are shown separately. Web reports added 25 Oct 2026.
Mississauga / Municipal
Northbound pollingMississauga: Crombie 33%, Tedjo 31%, Parrish 27%.
Tedjo gains 12 points across three supplied campaign waves, narrowing Crombie’s advantage to two points in the final pre-election tracker.
2 ppCrombie–Tedjo gap among decided and leaning voters
Northbound release 24 Oct 2026Fieldwork 21 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026 · n=850Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Toronto / Municipal
Northbound pollingToronto: Chow 51%, Bradford 46%.
Bradford gains seven points across three supplied campaign waves. Chow retains a five-point advantage in a contest with sharply different regional and age-group estimates.
5 ppChow–Bradford gap among decided and leaning voters
Northbound release 24 Oct 2026Fieldwork 21 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026 · n=1,200Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Oakville / Municipal
Northbound pollingOakville: Burton 31%, Hanna 27%, O’Meara 22%.
Five candidates divide the decided-and-leaning ballot. The supplied ward-group estimates show a different ordering in northern Oakville as development and traffic dominate the report’s issue findings.
4 ppBurton–Hanna gap among decided and leaning voters
Northbound release 24 Oct 2026Fieldwork 20 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026 · n=650Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Milton / Municipal
Northbound pollingMilton: Krantz 33%, Akbar 27%, Minakakis 18%.
The final pre-election figures put the incumbent six points ahead of Akbar, with distinct patterns by length of residency and a divided challenger field.
6 ppKrantz–Akbar gap among decided and leaning voters
Northbound release 23 Oct 2026Fieldwork 19 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026 · n=600Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗British Columbia / Provincial
Northbound pollingB.C.: Conservatives 48%, NDP 38%, Greens 11%.
Three supplied campaign waves show a nine-point Conservative gain and a reversal in the province-wide ordering. Regional estimates show a more varied picture.
10 ppConservative–NDP gap among decided and leaning voters
Northbound release 23 Oct 2026Fieldwork 20 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026 · n=1,400Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Alberta / Referendum
Northbound pollingAlberta: 75% remain, with a closer autonomy ballot.
The supplied final survey puts remain at 75% on Question 10. The other nine questions range from a 62–38 yes advantage to a 49–51 split.
75%Remain in Canada among decided Question 10 respondents
Northbound release 18 Oct 2026Fieldwork 14 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026 · n=1,100Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Vancouver / Municipal
Northbound pollingVancouver: Fry 41%, Sim 37%, others 22%.
The supplied final Metro Vancouver tracker places Pete Fry four points ahead of Ken Sim in Vancouver, with a sizeable combined share for other candidates.
4 ppFry–Sim gap in the supplied Vancouver ballot
Northbound release 16 Oct 2026Fieldwork 12 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026 · n=800Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Surrey / Municipal
Northbound pollingSurrey: McCallum 43%, Locke 38%, others 19%.
The supplied final Metro Vancouver tracker places Doug McCallum five points ahead of Brenda Locke in Surrey, with other candidates accounting for 19%.
5 ppMcCallum–Locke gap in the supplied Surrey ballot
Northbound release 16 Oct 2026Fieldwork 12 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026 · n=700Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Quebec / Provincial
Northbound pollingQuebec: PQ 28%, Liberals 24%, Conservatives 21%.
The final supplied wave places five parties between 12% and 28%, with sharply different language-group estimates and a fragmented province-wide ballot.
4 ppPQ–Liberal gap among decided and leaning respondents
Northbound release 4 Oct 2026Fieldwork 1 Oct 2026 – 3 Oct 2026 · n=1,250Added to this archive 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Canada / Federal
Third-party pollingThe national lead was only part of the story.
Two April Pallas releases showed a Liberal advantage, while leader assessments varied substantially by issue.
+8 ppLiberal advantage over the Conservatives in the April 14 Pallas release
Source report 14 Apr 2025Vote 28 Apr 2025Northbound analysis 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗Ontario / Provincial
Third-party pollingDissatisfaction did not translate directly into the ballot.
Pallas’s February surveys paired a sizeable PC advantage with a markedly negative assessment of Ontario’s direction.
+16 ppPC advantage over the Liberals in the February 20 Pallas release
Source report 20 Feb 2025Vote 27 Feb 2025Northbound analysis 25 Oct 2026
Read the report ↗No matching reports.
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